Friday, January 7, 2011

MIDWEST/ EAST COAST STORM 1/7/11 MODEL OUTPUT MORNING

MIDWEST STORM

ECMWF- Comes from Mexico, a bit farther south than before.
CMC- Storm separates into 2 lows. One going up north affecting Great Lakes.
NOGAPS- Low in the gulf, farther north than ECMWF.
GFS- NOGAPS track.
UKMET- ECMWF Track.
DGEX- Low farther east as it goes up into New England.

Discussion... DGEX may be moving towards the East Coast storm, preventing precipitation in the Great Lakes. At this time, will take a track going through the NOGAPS track and ending a GFS track.

EAST COAST STORM

ECMWF- Farther out to sea.
CMC- Coast Hugger.
NOGAPS- Coast Hugger storm as well.
GFS- Starts off as a weak coast hugger, deepens much later than any other model, and goes out to sea.
UKMET- Too early to see.
DGEX- Similar to GFS track.

Discussion... It appears the ECMWF track may be aligning with the GFS track. That is against the CMC and NOGAPS, which show Coast Huggers. For now, will take no east storm solution and go with GFS/ECMWF track.
DGEX-

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