Midwest/ East Coast Storm Update 1/6/11 evening

MIDWEST STORM MODEL OUTPUTS

(results compared to morning run.)

ECMWF- A tad farther south.

NOGAPS- Takes ECMWF track.

CMC- Keeping with morning track of going north.

DGEX- Similar CMC track.

UKMET- Early indications of ECMWF track.

GFS- ECMWF Track.

GFS Ensemble- 8/12 members showing north track, not CMC track.

WRF- Gulf Track, ECMWF.

Will take a combination of ECMWF/GFS Ensemble track. Will keep error room in case of change.

EAST COAST STORM MODEL OUTPUTS

ECMWF- Developed Nor 'easter, offshore, not much effect.

NOGAPS- ECMWF track.

CMC- Developed Nor 'easter, shore-hugger.

DGEX- Developed Nor 'easter, ECMWF Track.

UKMET- Too far out in time frame.

GFS Ensemble- 6/12 members predicting NO EAST COAST STORM.

GFS- Out to sea.

Dismiss GFS solution. Will take ECMWF/CMC track.