GFS- One low goes by Gulf, another forms by Ohio Valley. Heaviest snow in Ohio Valley.
ECMWF- Takes low through Gulf.
DGEX- Takes low pressure further south close to Southeast US.
CMC- Starts to take low north, but suddenly dissipates. Other low stays in Gulf.
NOGAPS- Brings low into Ohio Valley from the Gulf.
At this time, first will dismiss NOGAPS because it is only one out of the others.
Will also dismiss the first portion of the CMC, and second portion of the GFS.
Overall consensus is to provide an ECMWF track, taking the low through the Gulf.
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