Friday, September 30, 2011

18z GFS displays concerning image for Northeast

The Long-Range GFS is painting a concerning picture for the Northeast. What we have here appears (keyword is appears) to be a tropical system- the tropical system that is currently Tropical Storm Philippe. This is hour 288 on the GFS, so it can be considered unreliable, but I am watching this one more closely than I would with other systems because: A) The system responsible for this potential landfall (TS Philippe) is already stirring in the ocean, thus the models are full of data. B) My gut instinct is telling me this might happen. I'm not saying you should trust my gut, but it's something to think about.
For those concerned, here's a real-time image of Philippe.

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