Thursday, October 27, 2011

0z ECMWF Back to Bombing Out on Northeast for Weekend Storm

For all you snow lovers in the Northeast, I am happy to report that this morning's ECMWF model run has trended back to its original solution from a couple days back. That is, the ECMWF now bombs out the storm while on the coast. ('Bombing out' is a term used for when a low pressure system rapidly drops central pressure and gains strength. Typical occurrence with coastal storms.)
The HPC, which provides some of its own winter graphics, shows the highest reasonable (at least 40%) amount of snowfall possible at 1 inch for much of the Northeast and 4 inches for northern New Jersey.
This probably will not be a huge storm, but there may be a coating of snow on the grass or pavement.

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