Monday, October 17, 2011

Center of Invest 95L Moves Over Land Again; Development Less Likely

The center of Invest 95L has moved over land again and left the main area of convection off to the east. In the image above, you can see the center of the invest over land while the rain has moved to the northeast and towards Florida. With this latest development, the possibility of this invest becoming a tropical system is much more unlikely and now probably will not happen. However- as these storms move to the northeast, Florida will be receiving some heavy rains. you can see the projected 1 day rain totals below.
Some areas of Florida may have very localized totals of 2 inches of rain in a one day period! Since this tropical system is no longer a concern for Florida, it is a concern for the Northeast. This system will race up the coast and 'bomb out'- that is, have its pressures drop rapidly and the system intensify. If you didn't understand that, it means that this system will become a 'Nor Easter'. We will have a discussion on that prospect out at 6:00 pm CDT

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