Tuesday, November 15, 2011

LRC Patten Discovered- Winter Pattern Taking Shape

This is an update regarding the very recent discovery of pieces of this winter's new LRC (Lezak Recurring Cycle). Let's start off with what the LRC is. The LRC is a cycle that is believed to form between October 1 and November 10th. In this timeframe, it is believed that a storm/pattern sets up that will eventually repeat itself around 40-60 days later. This same/very similar pattern continues through the winter and fades into summer. No year is exactly the same, and there is a new pattern every single year.

So, here's what Gary Lezak, founder of the LRC, has put out very recently. He believes that this year's pattern will include a strong low pressure system present in the Lower Great Lakes and into the nation's midsection. An example of this system occurred on October 13th, October 19th, and October 31st. Below is the stronger example from October 19th.
Gary Lezak states that this system will likely recur this year, and be a 'major' storm system. If this LRC turns out that way, I would not be surprised to see cities such as Chicago, Milwaukee, Des Moines, and possibly St. Louis getting in on a heck of a lot of snow this winter from this repeating system. Lezak believes this is good evidence of a piece of this year's LRC due to the fact it repeated 3 times in one month. I do agree to the fact that 3 times' occurrence is a very interesting piece.

What do I think on this? I believe that the LRC pattern theory is valid. It is sound, and has proven to exist based on the guidelines set out by Gary Lezak. If you would like more information, including the nation's precipitation and temperature maps, you may see the entire blog post from Lezak by clicking on this link.


Ron Kelley said...

I find this theory very interesting and do agree with the one example that is shown in the graphic. However, I live in Pittsburgh Pa. and several of those storms from 10/1 - 11/10/11 were centered over the eastern third of the U.S. which would have given the eastern Ohio Valley and interior N.E. a lot of snow and the mid-west little if nothing. So if this pattern repeats as the article implies, then the Mid-west may not be ground zero for the most snowfall this winter. just a thought.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.How would Ohio be affected when all of this would happen to occur?Would Ohio have above or below normal snowfall for the season?I'm all confused by this.In the winter of 2009-2010 we had 3 major snowstorms to effct my area.This occured in February 2010.

Ed said...

The fact that it occurred 3 times in one month is not evidence pattern cycling, rather a specific part of this year's weather pattern. The cycling part of the LRC occurs over 1-2 months time. Last year's signature storm was responsible for the "October bomb" in the western Great Lakes, the "Metrodome Killer" in December, and a blizzard in the plains in early February.

Andrew said...

Ron Kelley- We have seen two other large storms that zero in on the Midwest and give quite a bit of precipitation. Ohio Valley will have it's winter, but as we recently posted today, we still believe the Midwest will have the worst winter. It's not just about the LRC.

Mike- Ohio will still get a good winter, even if the LRC does not affect the region. While 09-10 seems like a good analogue for the current pattern, remember that 09-10 had an El Nino, therefore drastically changing conditions.

Ed- I am relaying information from LRC theory creator, Gary Lezak. The information he put up seems plausible and I agree with his theory for this winter, as do my fellow weather enthusiasts on the Accuweather Forums.