Recap of LRC:
-Pattern setting up between Oct. 1-Nov. 10 every year.
-Certain atmospheric features will repeat approximately 30-60 days after it occurs if this feature is within the timeframe mentioned above.
-Pattern repeats through winter, spring, into summer.
-Pattern is never the same each year.
Note about this year's LRC:
-Each cycle is 46 days long. That is, each system below would theoretically repeat every 46 days.
-Pattern setting up between Oct. 1-Nov. 10 every year.
-Certain atmospheric features will repeat approximately 30-60 days after it occurs if this feature is within the timeframe mentioned above.
-Pattern repeats through winter, spring, into summer.
-Pattern is never the same each year.
Note about this year's LRC:
-Each cycle is 46 days long. That is, each system below would theoretically repeat every 46 days.
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| October 19 |
SYSTEM 1: October 19, 2011
An Upper Level Low was cut off from the jet stream on October 19th. The piece of energy stayed in place, putting precipitation over the same areas for a couple days, before it was nudged north back into the jet stream. Over this time period, the equivalent of around 6 inches of snow (that originally fell as rain on October 19) fell over the Michigan area/ Ohio Valley. This same system is currently repeating at the time of posting. Because this is happening, the chances of the next system occurring are rising.
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| November 9 |
SYSTEM 2: November 9, 2011
A possible Panhandle Hooker storm came up into the Midwest/Great Lakes region, putting down impressive precipitation totals. In the 3 days pan that was measured, as much as 1.97 inches of rain was recorded in the region most affected. This would easily equate to 20 inches of snow. It's pretty crazy to think that 20 inches of snow might fall in one area every 46 days. But if the LRC pans out, the atmosphere might be able to pull this feat off. The chances of this are increasing as the 1st system is panning out. If the 46 days are true, then this system could be coming back around December 28th- right after Christmas.
11 comments:
this is so stupid lrc is a fantasy and u know it. yes pattens repeat but nothing stays the same the whole winter no tracks if this is the case where is the big noreaster the northeast had in oct ? u cant just pick one storm and say oh u repeated where are the rest ?
The LRC has been studied and definitely proven. It was presented to the National Weather Service, and many reputed meteorologists believe in the LRC. I don't know why you would think I would spit out lies. Only certain atmospheric features repeat- not every single detail.
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Hello.Andrew.Do you think this current pattern Ohio and surrounding states are in right now could repeat itself in the near future?What i mean is,we arew getting DRENCHED withrain right now.You should see my back yard it's like a swamp! Hopefully this does repeat itself.If it would,we would probably get a TON of snow! The weather service in Cleveland Ohio says it's the wettest fall on record so far for my area.
This is one of the systems we are probably going to see repeat itself, so your backyard better be ready for quite a bit of snow later on this winter!
ok we will see what happens i still think its bull when the nao goes neg and tanks in jan like am hearing we will see if the certain feature come back if they do at all ? any one can pick out a low and say hey this happen once before.
That is incorrect. It is not true that anyone can pick out a random low and say it will happen again. This pattern will stick to its guns, like it did last year and years and years before. Teleconnections don't matter for the low- it will still happen. Sure, strength and track will vary, but the low will still come through.
And as I have said times before- the NAO does not defy every other atmospheric condition. There can be a +NAO and be a very cold Arctic blast.
when there is blocking in place and the jet buckles . u hardly ever se a low travel from south too north rare cutters and hookers get eatting alive when this happens there are many lows that form and disapear all the time too say certain features is like picking which one u like for the thorey. it all a weather game if the midwest get a big storm on the 28 ill rethink on it for now it bull too me .
Suit yourself, but you're missing out on a lot of solid evidence that this pattern does exist.
hi andrew -so your saying lrc will repeat it'sself- i had 2.oo inches of rain in northeast iowa nov. 9-10th -so when this storm comes threw after x-mas- it has a good chance of giving us 2 feet of snow-i'm marking my calander -interesting- i'm i right on understanding you on this>????
As much as I would like that to be the case, unfortunately it is not. Tracks of the storm and strength differ each time it repeats. For instance, last year, the storm that brought the February Chicago Blizzard was originally the huge storm up in Minnesota, i believe.
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