There is a low severe weather threat in the long range, with only small areas in the short range under the gun. Also, I have started on the global warming post, and, to be honest, I don't like writing about it. Very controversial, and a lot of information that I have to gather and try to correlate together. I'm going to try to finish it up soon, but it is not a fun topic in my eyes.
There will once again be a lack of posts today (my apologies), but I promise for more quality activity tomorrow.
Andrew
There will once again be a lack of posts today (my apologies), but I promise for more quality activity tomorrow.
Andrew
6 comments:
I understand. This is a highly controversial difficult topic. However, one thing that has always caught my eye with temperatures is solar activity seems to control just about everything. Volcanoes have an impact too. The thing that makes me mad is politicians playing with this topic. I say leave it to the meteorologists and climatologists. This is an EXTREMELY delicate topic. I do not care what your opinion is, Andrew. I for one prefer to look at both sides of the argument.
Since I am working all of tonight and around 4am things will settle down I intend to do a lot of research on this winter. I may have something big for millions. ???????
Well I noticed a new thing for May. The high wont last long over Plains. Look at last few hours of May on twisterdata. GFS now has great moisture return. Temperatures will increase again. The Northeast also should retain moisture return. The high looks like it will weaken but I don't know if it will spoil the Northeast after it messes with the South. A cut-off or stationary low that periodically forms over SW may form and strengthen again which was supplying strong jets at times. Too early to predict severe weather but GFS has best dew points and temp at 70° over ND on May 25 as late as 12 am. We will see what comes.
Anonymous, that is certainly something to watch. Currently in my area heavy rain is falling. I tis also somewhat windy. No thunder and lightning though.
Instability seems rather low for Northeast which was typical when I lived there. Instability will rise in the summer like usual. Mountainous northeastern states have best instability. It is no surprise western Massachusetts, upstate New York, Maryland, and western Pennsylvania are prone to violent tornadoes. Pennsylvania wins with one F5 and six F4 tornadoes in one day in 1985. Those mountains provide upsloping as lift. I'd rather think a derecho would hit those states more likely before the next EF4 or 5. The Northeast is well due for another High Risk day for derechos. It happened before but likelihood is low since most derechos there carry MDT Risks. Happened last year in New York and maybe Massachusetts (don't think it was the recent New England outbreak). Glad it is raining. The wildfires choked NJ, NY, and other drought states. This could dent or stop the drought.
ERN WX: Yeah, I'm sure this would be a much more interesting topic to discuss without politicians getting into the mix that should be left to the climatologists and the like. I can't wait to hear what your research reveals.
Anonymous: Very good observation. The Cut-off lows will be the ones to keep watching this spring.
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