Saturday, November 17, 2012

February 2013 Forecast

Brutal is the best way to describe it. Siberia and NAO correlations go all out on a cold and stormy pattern for the East US in this final month of winter. Bone-chilling temperatures are likely to reach as far south as the southeastern states like Georgia and Alabama, possibly flirting with the fragile Southeast winter agriculture economy. Farmers should prepare now for a deep chill nationwide. Northern Plains residents will bear a huge brunt as February delivers several punches to the gut of pure cold. The Northeast continues with its -NAO pattern, and the cold only enhances any snow potentials.

NOTE: Confidence is lowered in the forecast for the Plains and Midwest.
Short questions can be asked below.

Andrew

14 comments:

Steve Bartz said...

How does snowfall look in the the very cold Northern Plains in Feb?

Steve Bartz said...

March in Minneapolis can be a very snowy month. How does march look?

WinterStorm said...

Hi Andrew! Your monthly forecasts look great! Also, I have a question: How many winter storms would you expect for Southeast Michigan this winter? And, what do you think the best month for snow/cold in my area will be? Thanks for all you do!

Tyrese Lawson said...

What Could South Carolina See in All of those Months

Paul said...

What is snow looking like in Harvard, IL for these months? I see that we will be cold, but I don't see any snow amounts. Please answer, my job is heavily affected by the white stuff and I'd like to know what sort of amounts your expecting for each month. Thank you for your time!

Andrew said...

Steve: February should be less snowy than Dec, as the Northeast gets the heavier stuff. I'm not sure about March, I only did research for these three months.

WinterStorm: Exact winter storms is kinda unrealistic in any situation, but if I had to give a rough estimate, I would say between 5-10.

Tyrese: Gradually getting colder with each month.

Paul: December and January should be more snowy for your area.

Anonymous said...

What about northern and eastern ohio.What do you see the snowiest months being?

Anonymous said...

So no winter, especially in southeastern Colorado eh, we, guess it's time to put away the winter gear and snowboard, because the snow just isn't coming from what you are saying.
Also, no fishing in spring or summer, as lack of snowpack will likely lead to area-wide water shortages, which will further stress fish populations.

Anonymous said...

andrew my local weather man hear in the toronto area said most of the snow the great lakes will get this winter will come in small amounts at a time by clippers systems and that the big stomrs will go up the east coast what are you thoughts. also a lot of lake effect this year as the lakes are still warmer than normal

Anonymous said...

I would say in my opinion.First of all.Everyone will probably get cold time to time.As for the constant cold,it's not going to happen!Now for the big snows,only the east coast will get the big storms.no one else.

Andrew said...

Anonymous #1: The first two.

Anonymous #2: I would say watch out for the first couple months of winter, as a +PNA may bode well for storms in that area.

Anonymous #3: I agree with the Lake effect snow portion, but my factors in my forecast tell me that the clipper idea is incorrect to some degree.

Anonymous #4: As soon as you provide backing to your claim, I'd be more than happy to investigate such a possibility.

Anonymous said...

What would you think of an verage for NJ would be on Feburary?

Anonymous said...

i mean average

Anonymous said...

Hey Andrew thanks for all the great reading material this fall.

A quick request: I live in CA and many of your forecast details, and even your incoming storm details, focus on the midwest and east coast. Do you think you could slip in a little mention of where the incoming storms will hit the west coast and with what kind of intensity?

Thanks from a desperate skier who wishes you were wrong more often :)