Sunday, October 9, 2011

CFS Long-Range Model Depicts East SD with -21 degree temperatures

Pre-reading notes: This image is for November 18th and will not happen. Don't even consider this happening because it is way way too far out.

This is a pretty cool image we uncovered from the ridiculously long range CFS model that shows Eastern South Dakota in the middle of a -21 degree F. temperature on November 18th. We show this because it is considered a pretty cool thing in our eyes. Again- this will not turn out due to its long range extent.

Tropical System Looks to be Very Weak as it Rides the Coast

HPC Rainfall Forecasts for the next 5 days look to put the forecast tropical system at a very weak life as it hugs the coast. It does appear the system will be drained of energy in the Florida/Georgia area before going up the coast. We are not 100% sure if this system will actually make it to Tropical Storm strength at all, but there is still a chance it could.
Meanwhile, the system in question has a 30% chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours. This chance for development could rise in the next few days. Below we see the trough in question that is just offshore Florida.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Tropical System Looks to Produce 2+ inches over East Coast in next 5 Days

A tropical system forecast to hug the East Coast could put out over 2 inches of rain in many places in the next 5 days.

The HPC has put the Eastern Seaboard in a broad range of rainfall amounts for the next 5 days. At this time, it does look like this rain will come from a tropical system that will sweep up the coast. This tropical system will not be strong, and will not be windy. This system will be a tropical system at best and may not even amount to a tropical storm. At this time, the system has a 30% chance of development in the next 48 hours, which may rise in that time period.

Forecast High Temperatures for October 9

Temperatures for tomorrow, October 9 are warm across the Midwest. Temperatures are forecast to reach the 80s as the skies will remain sunny but breezy out ahead of the advancing cold front currently draped across the central US as of 11 pm CDT October 8. However, in areas of Texas northwards into North Dakota will cool down as the cold front takes effect on temperatures. 

Heavy Precipitation Ongoing Across Texas; Temperatures drop 20 degrees in 24 hours in Texas

Recent satellite, radar and pressure maps indicate some heavy showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across Texas. These heavy storms are associated to a cold front extending across the middle of the US. There are also some showers from Oklahoma north into North Dakota, showing just how long this front is. The front is also marked by 24 hour temperature differences below.
24 hour temperatures indicate there has been over a 20 degree temperature drop in North Texas, signifying how strong this front is.