Midwest/ East Coast Storm Update 1/6/11 morning

MIDWEST MODEL OUTPUTS

ECMWF- Shifted slightly north overnight.

GFS- A bit more southerly than the ECMWF.

NOGAPS- Starts out a bit more northerly than Euro, then shoots up into New England on land, giving Midwest snow.

CMC- Takes NOGAPS solution.

DGEX- Takes NOGAPS solution.

GFS Ensemble- 8/12 predict storm to take NOGAPS solution.

ATTM... This is a hard decision. ECMWF has been leading the pack recently, but GFS has been straying south of the Euro. Will take a ECMWF/NOGAPS solution. Storm looks like a toss-up right now.

EAST COAST MODEL OUPUTS

ECMWF- No storm.

GFS Ensemble- 12/12 going out to sea.

GFS- Likes the Coast Hugger idea storm.

DGEX- Half Inland, Coast-Hugger Storm.

NOGAPS- Nor' Easter occurs.

CMC- Coast-Hugger Storm.

ATTM... Although the ECMWF is a reputable model, it is the only one with that type of solution. In that case... will take the GFS model track.