Friday, June 3, 2011

June 3- Tropical Cyclone Morning Discussion

Storm System 1- System to the east of Mexico

The storm system to the east of Mexico has gone down 10% to about a 0% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.
I had been issuing some talk about this system crossing Mexico and then reorganizing potentially as a tropical cyclone in the East Pacific.
However, looking at the system now, it seems to be stripped bare right down to the core of the low pressure system itself. Should it limp across Mexico and emerge in the East Pacific, there may be potential for tropical cyclone formation.

Unfortunately, we do not have the models available at this time as they have not been updated.

Storm System 2- Near Central America

The storm system near Central America has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 2 days. However, the NHC again outlined the potential for tropical cyclone formation beyond that period as upper level winds die down in the vicinity of that storm.
As of right now the storm system is very disorganized and will likely stay that way for at least the rest of the day.

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