Saturday, June 4, 2011

June 4- Evening Tropical Cyclone Discussion- East Pacific Ocean

There is a 30% chance for tropical cyclone development in the East Pacific.
A system to the west of Central America is catching eyes and concerns from The Weather Centre.
Environmental conditions appear to be conductive for development in the next few days.
For this system's track, it appears there is a consensus for this storm to drift northwest out to sea. One wayward model flings the storm at Mexico, but as of right now I will not believe that. As the storm drifts away to the northwest, there should not be any interference over the next 5 days at least.
The worrying part is the potential intensity of this storm. All models take this system into at least a tropical storm strength. All but one model take the storm into high Category 1 strength to low Category 2 strength. That said, I believe there is a good consensus for the storm to drift out to sea, and also strengthen into a hurricane as of right now.

We will continue posting as needed, and may issue special updates on this system as needed.

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