Monday, November 21, 2011

Winter forecast revision possible

We may be making some corrections to our forecast as the models and teleconnections seem lost right now. More info this afternoon.

EDIT: This post is void as of 4:00 PM CST. No revision necessary at this time.

10 comments:

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.I watched my local news today and they mentioned a major winter storm in the Ohio valley on the 30'th of this month.What are your thoughts on this?Just curious.

Andrew said...

They must be going on the LRC.
If it does indeed repeat on the late november time frame (which it may), there may indeed be a snowstorm for the OV. I am trying to get a more in-depth view on this with my fellow weather enthusiasts.

Owen12789 said...

If the OV gets hit, will Central Illinois get snow as well?

Andrew said...

Yes.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.I'll keep checking back for an update on the storm over the Ohio Valley.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.They stated that the storm would come from the Baja of California,then it would carve out a deep trough over the Ohio valley with copious amounts of precipitation.I would imagine that the gulf of mexico would get involved supplying the copious precipitation.

Andrew said...

Owen- I was getting the wrong message you were sending. If this storm does indeed hit the OV, you may get some snow if colder temperatures can come into the area, but right now it looks like rain. Much can change.

Mike- I tracked that storm on the ECMWF just now. It looks like it will be a cutoff, so it will be producing copious amounts of precipitation. That will likely be because the low will just stay in place for a while. Imagine if that happened in winter. That's my dream as a weatherman.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.So your saying we will get rain instead of snow?

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Could you email me a link to the ECmwf model?I cannot seam to locate it.I want to track storms using it.Here is my email address=PAULOCSAK@WIFI7.COM.

Andrew said...

Here's the ECMWF model: http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/