|EDIT: HIGH RISK NOW IN EFFECT|
|Overall Storm Prediction Risk|
|Damaging Wind Threat|
In this image, we see the EHI above 3 in Kentucky and Tennessee, signaling that there will be ample tornado key ingredients to potentially make for some tornadoes. After this large EHI, however, it will begin to weaken with movement eastward.
The SPC made the right move in not issuing a High Risk. Not enough of some key components will be in place/will be strong enough. However, I do think it is possible that a High Risk could be issued short term when the storms initially fire up, if they are stronger than expected. Also, 2000 - 3000 j/kg with 3+ EHI is nothing to mess with.
Here is my tornado outlook for today.