Atlantic Invest 93 is now present in the Atlantic, and located very close to the East Coast, with a small portion of it already on land in the Carolinas. The system does have a 50% of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 2 days.
Intensity forecasts do confirm this suspicion, with all models indicating this system to at least become a tropical storm. Beyond that, confidence is pretty low that a hurricane will form. Formation of a tropical storm should happen in the next day or two, with the SPC WRF-NMM actually showing an intense, small and compact circulation of showers and storms with this storm system.
Andrew
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