|MSLP at hour 336 off the 12z FIM|
|10m winds (knots) at hour 336 off the 12z FIM|
For this system, it looks like the formation point would be to the east of the Yucatan Peninsula, if the storm even came to light. Based on model trends, the system would move north through Cuba, where some of its strength would be lost. Some flooding would be possible on Cuba, with 6 hour rain accumulations passing 2 inches. From Cuba, the system may pass just to the east of Florida, possibly putting down some good winds and rain. After this brush, the system has 2 options- passing out to sea or hugging the East Coast. I find it more likely for the system to pass out to sea, but time will tell.