Around this timeframe, the ECMWF, ECMWF Ensembles, and GFS appear to form a weak system in the Gulf of Mexico. This system would then quickly shift east northeast out to sea, possibly developing into a strong tropical cyclone as it does so, as indicated by the Hour 168 image shown below from the ECMWF.
4 comments:
Watch what the high does. It'll help spin something up. Trop storm Chris? All to beat Nino.
I also think that we will need to watch the Atlantic coast states lot more closely this year, especially with that high pressure being a frequent visitor already. Take care Andrew!
Um Andrew the second person to comment was/is an impostor. I'm the real ERN WX, and I didn't post that. I can't believe someone could be so rude and immature.
Okay, this is getting pretty bad. I'm getting 2 ERN WX's. I only need one, and that's the one that goes storm chasing and provides the valuable information here- not some impostor not worth my time.
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