Sunday, June 3, 2012

Tropics Should Be Watched in Next 7 Days

The HPC has put out a forecast indicating that a stationary front is to be in place just along the Gulf Coast. With any front comes the potential of storms, but in tropical waters, those same storms may very well ignite some sort of tropical system.

Around this timeframe, the ECMWF, ECMWF Ensembles, and GFS appear to form a weak system in the Gulf of Mexico. This system would then quickly shift east northeast out to sea, possibly developing into a strong tropical cyclone as it does so, as indicated by the Hour 168 image shown below from the ECMWF.


4 comments:

ERN WX said...

Watch what the high does. It'll help spin something up. Trop storm Chris? All to beat Nino.

ERN WX said...

I also think that we will need to watch the Atlantic coast states lot more closely this year, especially with that high pressure being a frequent visitor already. Take care Andrew!

ERN WX said...

Um Andrew the second person to comment was/is an impostor. I'm the real ERN WX, and I didn't post that. I can't believe someone could be so rude and immature.

Andrew said...

Okay, this is getting pretty bad. I'm getting 2 ERN WX's. I only need one, and that's the one that goes storm chasing and provides the valuable information here- not some impostor not worth my time.