This is the accompanying graphic to the latest winter forecast I issued, which can be seen here.
Sorry to everyone that this was delayed, I had a mix up in communications.
I am anticipating that an El Nino will continue into the winter months. At the moment, the Nino appears to be heading at least central based-ward, which would turn out an OK winter for the Midwest to the East Coast. The Nino should be on the weak to moderate side, which would also give the Midwest and Plains some snow this winter.
Confidence in the following information: 65%
As shown on the graphic above, I highlighted the East Coast for the snowy conditions. A recent post on the negative NAO (click here), as well as an El Nino and PDO possibly moving positively, a very interesting East Coast winter may be in the works.
Confidence in the following information: 70%
I believe that the drought still plaguing the Midwest and Plains at this time will continue, as the El Nino encourages warm and mostly dry conditions to prevail across those areas. However, the weakness of the Nino historically can spread the wealth to the mentioned areas, and this could provide a small amount of relief, should a heat wave melt any snow or prompt systems to produce rain over snow in the Midwest.
Confidence in the following information: 60%
The Gulf Coast looks to be in for a wet winter, with drought conditions already easing up on the region. Due to the presence of a developing El Nino combined with El Nino-like QBO values, I feel that this trend of wetness over the Gulf Coast will continue into fall and winter. It could get tricky should the NAO pull a fast one and keep the region dry for some periods of time.
The rest of the country has yet to gain enough confidence for me to outline it.