Saturday, November 5, 2011

Final 2011-2012 Winter Forecast: Northeast Forecast

---------------------Final 2011-2012 Winter Forecast-----------------
The Northeast will have a widely varied winter as always with the coastal storms. However, at this point, we are thinking the majority of the region should be cooler than normal as much of the Northern Tier of the US should be as well. Areas south of the dashed lines may have a more moderated temperature average due to the wildness coastal storms can bring. This effect will be felt the most closer to the coast. Snowfall and precipitation wise, areas north of the dashed line should see snow as the big precipitation form this winter, especially for lake effect snow-prone regions. Areas in blue but south of the dashed line ought to have more variability for precipitation, but should end up on the snowier side with some ice possibly mixed in. This ice threat is more enhanced by the coast, once again due to the coastal storms. This area outlined in pink could see anything from rain to snow, and everything in between. The big news n the 2nd half of the winter will be the warm-up expected for the region. Around January, the Northeast may try and stage a dramatic warm up, greatly diminishing the chances for snow for the coastal regions. That is another reason why we expect the Northeast to get their winter early, as they did late last month (october) when we saw the early-season storm system bring over 2 feet to places in the Northeast.

Regional times are as follows:

Nationwide Winter Forecast Release: 12:00 PM CDT
Southwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:10 PM CDT
Southeast Winter Forecast Release: 12:20 PM CDT
Northeast Winter Forecast Release: 12:30 PM CDT
Midwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:40 PM CDT
Northwest Winter Forecast Release: 12:50 PM CDT
South Central Plains Winter Forecast Release: 1:00 PM CDT

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