Sunday, August 12, 2012

Official 2012-2013 Winter Forecast Release Date

Mark your calendars!

The release date of The Weather Centre's Official 2012-2013 Winter Forecast will be Saturday, September 8, at 12:00 PM central time.

I will begin work on this forecast tomorrow. It may surpass the last forecast update in terms of amount of work put into it, but this will be an exciting forecast!

Andrew

21 comments:

Anonymous said...

Will your forecast include Colorado? I've enjoyed reading your commentary, but wish that there was more information about areas outside of the midwest/northest.

Andrew said...

I have had requests for more information on the Western US, so yes, I will include more of that region.

Alice McDonald said...

I have nothing weather related to say that is pertinent. So, just Hi Andrew and everyone.

Aran said...

Sorry I haven't commented lately I look at your blog every day.I am looking forward to this winter I didn't get a lot of severe weather except for one Derecho that did a lot of damage.

Aran said...

Sorry I have not been commenting on the blog.I visit it a few times a day though.I just wrote a really long comment but all the sudden my comment just disappeared.I am looking forward to winter.

Anonymous said...

What happened to the TCF model yesterday? I was excited to see it... :(

ERN WX said...

Storm going thru with signs of rotation. Winds very strong. Will try to post more.

Andrew said...

Alice: Hello! Nice to see you again!

Aran: This summer certainly has been the summer of derechos. Nice to see you back!

Anonymous: I invested more time than I had planned on the winter forecast, so I was unable to get it out. I apologize for the inconvenience.

ERN WX: Thanks for the report. Stay safe!

ERN WX said...

Reports: 51mph microburst gust, rainfall rate was 5 inches an hour!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WOW!!!!!!!! Need that in winter!!!!!!!!!! Winter still looks great cause long range mdls show displaced cold air. Hope things go smoothly with your winter forecast. Keep it up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! The West is now bearing our heat.

Anonymous said...

Sorry to be a pryer, but are any of these folks meteorologists of any kind? Also good blog.

Dave said...

andrew a tornado warning has been issued for my area wich is in baltimore hopley i will be okay

WinterStorm said...

AccuWeather just put out their winter outlook for 2012-2013. It looks terrible for Michigan. I hope they're wrong.:-)

Andrew said...

ERN WX: Great report! Thanks for sharing!

Anonymous: I am not an official meteorologist employed at the NWS. I cannot speak for anyone else.

Dave: Tornado warnings are nothing to mess with. Hope you're OK!

WinterStorm: I believe they are spot-on for the East and Gulf coasts. However, if the cold air flows south as they think it will, I have a hard time believing Michigan will end up below average. As I posted earlier, the Great Lakes are unusually warm, and if a harsh arctic outbreak comes along, lake effect snow will run rampant.

WinterStorm said...

Hi Andrew! Yeah, I agree that the lake effect snow machine should be cranking this winter, especially with the lakes so warm. Unfortunately, southeast Michigan, at least where I live, isn't in one of the Snowbelts. But I suppose if we can get a big lake-effect snow event going, I could get a good dose of snow.

Winter Wishlist: -NAO, -AO, +PNA, Jet Stream Trough In East, and LOTS of Snow!:-)

Dave said...

hi will there be severe thunderstroms today for my area

there was know tornado

Andrew said...

Dave: The SPC has outlooked much of the East Coast in a slight risk of severe weather today. I suggest you keep eyes on the skies.

ERN WX said...

Hello, WinterStorm, the Accuwx map has a few flaws to me. The blw nrml snowfall/ abv nrml temps map needs to be pushed NW a bit. Clippers will come diving from Canada, bringing the Midwest decent snow+ several large storms. Overall, I don't expect many changes with the map. Andrew, things are destabilizing well.

WinterStorm said...

Hello ERN WX, do you think that we have a chance to have a big storm from the Gulf Of Mexico this year? Sort of like the Groundhog Day Blizzard? Yeah, the only snow worth mentioning that I recieved last year came from a clipper, otherwise known as a "Saskatchewan Screamer!":-)

Dave said...

hi andrew there has been no activity today for my area

is the severe weather threat over at this point

Dave said...

also is there going to be any more severe weather in the near future for my area

ERN WX said...

WinterStorm, the bulk of the storms will be ejected from the GOM this year, I think. Most will impact hte East Coast, though. Manitoba maulers are also possible. Several GOM storms could impact the MW, though, but that chc is lower than nrml.