|Figure 1- MSLP at hour 306 of the 12z FIM.|
|Figure 2- 10m winds (knots) at hour 306 of the 12z FIM.|
Per images from more recent timeframes from this same 12z FIM run, here are some key points:
•The system looks to begin and strengthen originally to the east of the Yucatan Peninsula.
•A shift north-northeast looks likely following the formation.
•Florida would indeed be at some risk level should this happen.
•An out to sea solution appears to be the likely one at this time.
All of the above statements are subject to potentially major changes, as we are far away from this timeframe.
However, now is the best time to bring about concern, as warnings must be given as soon as is reasonably possible.