FIM Projects East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Formation in Mid June

The FIM model is projecting that a tropical system will form just off Central America in the Eastern Pacific in the Late May timeframe. This system looks to have winds surpassing 40 knots, which would make this system Tropical Storm Carlotta.

The timeframe is still over 5 days away, and while the FIM does have a 65% verification score over a 7 day period (matching up to the GFS' 66% verification score), I don't have the confidence to assure you that this will happen. Does it have a chance? Yes.