Saturday, September 8, 2012

Official 2012-2013 Winter Forecast: Gulf Coast

Temperature forecast for the Gulf Coast this winter calls for a cooler than normal season, with a consistent storm track bringing an end to widespread sunshine and thus putting a damper on heating for the areas shown. Analogs I am using also show anomalies of at least 3 degrees below normal for this winter, should everything go as planned. I do not doubt a warmer than normal area in portions of Tennessee, due to the proximity to the Ohio Valley and expectation of a dry winter for them.

As for precipitation, a wetter than average winter will be the case right along the Coast, as the charged sub-tropical jet stream shoots storm systems through that corridor to cause many instances of both rain and severe weather should the set up be right. I put a drier than normal area in the far northwest portion of the region to connect to the Ohio Valley and Midwest expected dryness for the winter.

Andrew

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