I am projecting cool temperatures to reign supreme this winter, as consistent storms push down a lot of sunlight that would otherwise heat the ground. Additionally, climatologically, an El Nino supports cooler than normal temperatures in the Southeast. This suspicion is confirmed on my analogs in the national winter forecast issued a half hour ago.
I am watching the potential for a warmer than normal spot of temperatures in the far northwest portion of the Southeast, as dry conditions in the Ohio Valley may contribute a warmer atmosphere to the region.
As for precipitation, the charged and active sub-tropical jet will continuously steer storms up the coast, soaking the Southeast in the process. My analogs for this winter confirm that history shows that situations like these end up wetter than normal for the Southeast. It should be noted that the Southeast may be in line for a severe weather risk, as jet stream winds combine with strengthening storm systems to produce a potentially active situation.
The proximity to the Ohio Valley puts the northwest corner of the region at a disadvantage in the precipitation department, as that region is not favored for heavier precipitation during an El Nino.